Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 2
Fiorentina

Kucka (49' pen.)
Brugman (38'), Kulusevski (39'), Kucka (41'), Kurtic (89')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pulgar (19' pen., 31' pen.)
Venuti (32'), Pezzella (49'), Julio (52'), Milenkovic (63'), Cutrone (79'), Sottil (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Parma	Draw	Fiorentina
31.63%	25.52%	42.85%

Both teams to score 54.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.98%

49.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.9%

71.1%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.9%

29.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.98%

65.01%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.22%

22.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.52%

56.47%

Score Analysis

Parma 31.63%

Fiorentina 42.85%

Draw 25.51%

Parma	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 5.05% 3-1 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.63%	1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 6.63% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 9.8% 1-2 @ 8.95% 0-2 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 4.42% 0-3 @ 3.58% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.63% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.16% Total : 42.85%

Serie A

Parma1 - 2Fiorentina

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Parma
1 - 2
Fiorentina