Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
47.35% | 25.65% | 27% |
Both teams to score 51.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.12% | 51.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.37% | 73.63% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% | 21.91% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% | 55.18% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.06% | 33.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.38% | 70.62% |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.29% Total : 27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |