Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.35%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 47.35% | 25.65% | 27% |
| Both teams to score 51.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.12% | 51.88% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.37% | 73.63% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% | 21.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.82% | 55.18% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% | 33.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.38% | 70.62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.26% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.28% Total : 47.35% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.04% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.8% 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.29% Total : 27% |