Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Jul 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Marc Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
3 - 2
Parma

Di Carmine (45+3' pen.), Zaccagni (54'), Pessina (81')
Empereur (55'), Pessina (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kulusevski (14'), Gagliolo (64')
Barilla (6'), Iacoponi (15'), Hernani (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A fixture between Hellas Verona and Parma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 45.69%. A win for Parma had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Parma
45.69%	25.66%	28.64%

Both teams to score 52.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03%

50.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16%

72.84%

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72%

22.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27%

55.73%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.8%

32.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.31%

68.68%

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 45.69%

Parma 28.64%

Draw 25.66%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Parma
1-0 @ 10.77% 2-1 @ 9.16% 2-0 @ 8.09% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.6% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.22% Total : 45.69%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 7.17% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.13% 1-2 @ 6.92% 0-2 @ 4.61% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.67% Total : 28.64%

Serie A

Hellas Verona3 - 2Parma

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Hellas Verona
3 - 2
Parma