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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Ennio Tardini
Inter logo

Parma
1 - 2
Inter Milan

Gervinho (15')
Dermaku (30'), Kucka (49'), R. (86'), Kurtic (89')
Kucka (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
de Vrij (84'), Bastoni (87')
Martinez (27'), Gagliardini (49'), Godin (71'), Moses (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Parma and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawInter Milan
20.8%22.26%56.94%
Both teams to score 55.37%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52%43.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12%65.88%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.19%34.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.45%71.55%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.94%15.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.44%43.57%
Score Analysis
    Parma 20.8%
    Inter Milan 56.94%
    Draw 22.26%
ParmaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.53%
2-1 @ 5.53%
2-0 @ 2.92%
3-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 20.8%
1-1 @ 10.47%
0-0 @ 5.24%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.26%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 9.91%
0-2 @ 9.4%
1-3 @ 6.26%
0-3 @ 5.93%
2-3 @ 3.3%
1-4 @ 2.96%
0-4 @ 2.81%
2-4 @ 1.56%
1-5 @ 1.12%
0-5 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 56.94%

Head to Head
Oct 26, 2019 5pm
Feb 9, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 23
Parma
0-1
Inter Milan

Gagliolo (61'), Biabiany (89')
Martinez (79')
Vecino (37'), Nainggolan (85')
Sep 15, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 4
Inter Milan
0-1
Parma

Brozovic (31'), D'Ambrosio (67')
Dimarco (79')
Stulac (24'), Dimarco (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan33275179186186
2AC Milan33216664392569
3Juventus331810547262164
4Bologna331711548262262
5Roma32167957381955
6Atalanta BCAtalanta321661059372254
7Lazio33164134235752
8Napoli331310105041949
9Fiorentina32138114536947
10Torino33111393129246
11Monza331110123543-843
12Genoa33912123540-539
13Lecce33811143048-1835
14CagliariCagliari33711153656-2032
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona33710163144-1331
16Empoli3387182648-2231
17Udinese32416123048-1828
18FrosinoneFrosinone33610174063-2328
19SassuoloSassuolo3368193965-2626
20Salernitana3329222670-4415


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