Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%).
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | SPAL |
| 43.63% | 24.99% | 31.38% |
| Both teams to score 56.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.2% | 46.8% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.95% | 69.05% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.53% | 21.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.5% | 54.5% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% | 28.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 4.65% 3-0 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.63% | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.04% 2-2 @ 5.75% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.66% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.38% |