Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 51.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Parma had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
51.68% | 24.88% | 23.44% |
Both teams to score 50.58% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.45% | 51.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.65% | 73.34% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.06% | 19.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.91% | 52.08% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.18% | 36.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.39% | 73.6% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 11.83% 2-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 9.54% 3-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 5.13% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-0 @ 2.07% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.77% Total : 51.67% | 1-1 @ 11.82% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.76% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.87% | 0-1 @ 7.33% 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.66% 1-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.59% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.76% Total : 23.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |