Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 56.63% | 22.42% | 20.95% |
| Both teams to score 55.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.04% | 43.96% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.66% | 66.34% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.68% | 15.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.94% | 44.06% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.07% | 34.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.33% | 71.67% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.91% 2-0 @ 9.42% 3-1 @ 6.19% 3-0 @ 5.89% 3-2 @ 3.26% 4-1 @ 2.91% 4-0 @ 2.76% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.09% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.61% Total : 56.63% | 1-1 @ 10.55% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.63% 1-2 @ 5.55% 0-2 @ 2.96% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 20.95% |