Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
| 59.14% | 21.65% | 19.21% |
| Both teams to score 54.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.02% | 42.97% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.62% | 65.38% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.82% | 14.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.11% | 41.88% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% | 36.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% | 72.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.78% 3-1 @ 6.48% 3-0 @ 6.37% 3-2 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 3.16% 4-0 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 1.24% 5-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.93% Total : 59.14% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 0-0 @ 5.13% 2-2 @ 5.06% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.64% | 0-1 @ 5.22% 1-2 @ 5.19% 0-2 @ 2.66% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.21% |