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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jul 1, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Milan logo

SPAL
2 - 2
AC Milan

Valoti (13'), Floccari (30')
Valdifiori (45'), Letica (58'), Cionek (79'), Dabo (85')
D'Alessandro (43'), Cionek (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Leao (79'), Vicari (90+4' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A fixture between SPAL and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
SPALDrawAC Milan
23.96%23.89%52.14%
Both teams to score 54.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53%46.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76%69.24%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15%33.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49%70.51%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.13%48.87%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 23.96%
    AC Milan 52.14%
    Draw 23.88%
SPALDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 6.6%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 3.58%
3-1 @ 2.21%
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 23.96%
1-1 @ 11.31%
0-0 @ 6.09%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 10.44%
1-2 @ 9.7%
0-2 @ 8.96%
1-3 @ 5.55%
0-3 @ 5.12%
2-3 @ 3%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 2.19%
2-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.14%

Head to Head
Jan 15, 2020 5pm
Round of 16
AC Milan
3-0
SPAL
Piatek (20'), Castillejo (44'), Hernandez (66')
Conti (33'), Castillejo (41')

Murgia (61'), Julio (72'), Salamon (84')
Oct 31, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 10
AC Milan
1-0
SPAL
Suso (63')
Duarte (40'), Donnarumma (41'), Calhanoglu (57'), Bennacer (69')

Floccari (21'), Vicari (62'), Cionek (68'), Kurtic (73')
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
SPAL
2-3
AC Milan
Vicari (28'), Fares (53')
Bonifazi (36'), Cionek (65')
Calhanoglu (18'), Kessie (23', 66')
Abate (27'), Bakayoko (81')
Dec 29, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
AC Milan
2-1
SPAL
Castillejo (16'), Higuain (64')
Castillejo (56'), Zapata (73'), Suso (79')
Suso (89')
Petagna (13')
Kurtic (51'), Schiattarella (70')
Feb 10, 2018 2pm
SPAL
0-4
AC Milan

Simic (30'), Mattiello (51'), Schiattarella (70')
Cutrone (2', 65'), Biglia (73'), Borini (90')
Kessie (17'), Biglia (40'), Bonucci (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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