Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 52.14%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest SPAL win was 1-0 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| SPAL | Draw | AC Milan |
| 23.96% | 23.89% | 52.14% |
| Both teams to score 54.24% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% | 46.99% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% | 69.24% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% | 33.84% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.49% | 70.51% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.99% | 18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.13% | 48.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| SPAL | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 6.6% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 3.58% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.25% Total : 23.96% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 0-0 @ 6.09% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.88% | 0-1 @ 10.44% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 8.96% 1-3 @ 5.55% 0-3 @ 5.12% 2-3 @ 3% 1-4 @ 2.38% 0-4 @ 2.19% 2-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.51% Total : 52.14% |