Serie A | Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio San Paolo
Napoli3 - 1SPAL
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | SPAL |
| 61.75% | 20.9% | 17.36% |
| Both teams to score 53.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
