Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Jun 22, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 4
AC Milan

Mancosu (54' pen.)
Lucioni (49')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Castillejo (26'), Bonaventura (55'), Rebic (57'), Leao (72')
Kjaer (45+3'), Gabbia (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Lecce and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	AC Milan
25.68%	22.49%	51.82%

Both teams to score 60.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.93%

39.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.61%

61.39%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.81%

28.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.12%

63.88%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.78%

15.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.13%

43.87%

Score Analysis

Lecce 25.68%

AC Milan 51.82%

Draw 22.49%

Lecce	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.68%	1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.82%

Serie A

Lecce1 - 4AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Lecce
1 - 4
AC Milan