Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
25.68% | 22.49% | 51.82% |
Both teams to score 60.88% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.93% | 39.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.61% | 61.39% |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% | 28.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.12% | 63.88% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.78% | 15.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.13% | 43.87% |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | AC Milan |
2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 5.43% 2-0 @ 3.44% 3-1 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.57% 3-0 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.57% Total : 25.68% | 1-1 @ 10.22% 2-2 @ 6.1% 0-0 @ 4.29% 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 9.63% 0-1 @ 8.08% 0-2 @ 7.6% 1-3 @ 6.04% 0-3 @ 4.77% 2-3 @ 3.83% 1-4 @ 2.84% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.8% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |