Serie A Gameweek 27
Jun 22, 2020 6.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 1
FT Via del Mare
  • Fabio Lucioni 49' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 54' goal
  • goal Samu Castillejo 26'
  • yellowcard Simon Kjaer 45'+3'
  • goal Giacomo Bonaventura 55'
  • goal Ante Rebic 57'
  • yellowcard Matteo Gabbia 63'
  • goal Rafael Leao 72'

Lecce vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2020 2.00pm
Lecce 2 - 7 Atalanta
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Marco Mancosu

AC Milan

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2020 2.00pm
AC Milan 1 - 2 Genoa
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Ante Rebic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 51.82%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result

Lecce 25.68%
Draw 22.49%
AC Milan 51.82%

Both Teams to Score: 

60.88%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.93%
Under 2.5 39.06%
Over 3.5 38.61%
Under 3.5 61.39%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 71.81%
Under 0.5 28.18%
Over 1.5 36.12%
Under 1.5 63.88%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 84.78%
Under 0.5 15.22%
Over 1.5 56.13%
Under 1.5 43.87%

Score analysis

Lecce 25.68%
Draw 22.49%
AC Milan 51.82%
Lecce
2-1 @ 6.48%
1-0 @ 5.43%
2-0 @ 3.44%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.57%
3-0 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 25.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.49%
AC Milan
1-2 @ 9.63%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.6%
1-3 @ 6.04%
0-3 @ 4.77%
2-3 @ 3.83%
1-4 @ 2.84%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.8%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.82%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 8
Oct 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Hakan Calhanoglu 20' goal
  • Krzysztof Piatek 81' goal
  • Lucas Biglia 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zan Majer 44'
  • goal Khouma Babacar 62'
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 76'
  • goal Marco Calderoni 92'