Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
47.17% | 25.1% | 27.73% |
Both teams to score 53.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.84% | 49.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% | 71.23% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.13% | 20.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.43% | 53.57% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.06% | 31.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.61% | 68.39% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.34% 2-0 @ 8.18% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.27% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-0 @ 1.67% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.59% Total : 47.16% | 1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.61% 1-2 @ 6.8% 0-2 @ 4.34% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.71% Total : 27.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |