Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 27

Jun 24, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 2
Lazio

Gosens (38'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (80')
Toloi (52'), de Roon (56')

FT(HT: 1-2)

de Roon (5' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (11')
Milinkovic-Savic (72'), Patric (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Atalanta and Lazio, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 53.56%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Lazio
53.56%	21.61%	24.83%

Both teams to score 63.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.33%

35.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.27%

57.73%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.53%

13.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.52%

40.47%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73%

27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.64%

62.36%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 53.56%

Lazio 24.83%

Draw 21.61%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Lazio
2-1 @ 9.57% 2-0 @ 7.31% 1-0 @ 7.29% 3-1 @ 6.4% 3-0 @ 4.88% 3-2 @ 4.19% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.45% 4-2 @ 2.1% 5-1 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.98% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.56%	1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 6.26% 0-0 @ 3.64% 3-3 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 6.25% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.88% Total : 24.83%

Serie A

Atalanta3 - 2Lazio

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Atalanta
3 - 2
Lazio