Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 64.04%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.9%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.54%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 64.04% | 19.01% | 16.94% |
| Both teams to score 59.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.54% | 34.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.62% | 56.38% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.78% | 10.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.48% | 33.51% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.5% | 33.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.87% | 70.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% 2-0 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 7.81% 3-1 @ 7.41% 3-0 @ 6.77% 4-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-0 @ 3.86% 4-2 @ 2.31% 5-1 @ 1.93% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.04% | 1-1 @ 8.54% 2-2 @ 5.33% 0-0 @ 3.42% 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.26% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 4.67% 0-1 @ 3.74% 0-2 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.94% 1-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.84% Total : 16.94% |