Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
27.68% | 25.05% | 47.26% |
Both teams to score 53.98% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.02% | 48.98% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.94% | 71.06% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% | 31.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% | 68.32% |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.24% | 20.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.61% | 53.39% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 7.56% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |