Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 27.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-0 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 27.68% | 25.05% | 47.26% |
| Both teams to score 53.98% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% | 48.98% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% | 71.06% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.12% | 31.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% | 68.32% |
| Juventus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.24% | 20.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% | 53.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 2.59% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-0 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.72% Total : 27.68% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 9.35% 0-2 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 4.29% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.93% 0-4 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.26% |