Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Jul 12, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo

Napoli
2 - 2
AC Milan

Di Lorenzo (34'), Mertens (60')
Di Lorenzo (10'), Rui (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Hernandez (20'), Kessie (73' pen.)
Hernandez (75'), Conti (77'), Saelemaekers (85')
Saelemaekers (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Napoli	Draw	AC Milan
41.33%	25.19%	33.48%

Both teams to score 56.53%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53%

47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.75%

69.25%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36%

22.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73%

56.27%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.07%

26.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75%

62.25%

Score Analysis

Napoli 41.33%

AC Milan 33.48%

Draw 25.19%

Napoli	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.06% 2-1 @ 8.82% 2-0 @ 6.73% 3-1 @ 4.37% 3-0 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.62% 4-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.24% Total : 41.33%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8% 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.08% Total : 33.48%

Serie A

Napoli2 - 2AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Napoli
2 - 2
AC Milan