Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 31

Jul 8, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 2
Napoli

Goldaniga (49')
Goldaniga (72')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mertens (45+1'), Lozano (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Genoa had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Genoa win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Napoli
21.74%	22.09%	56.17%

Both teams to score 57.37%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.5%

41.5%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.1%

63.9%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.2%

32.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63%

69.37%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.37%

14.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.24%

42.76%

Score Analysis

Genoa 21.74%

Napoli 56.17%

Draw 22.09%

Genoa	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 5.73% 1-0 @ 5.35% 2-0 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.13% 3-2 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.39% Total : 21.74%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 5.51% 0-0 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.09%	1-2 @ 9.88% 0-1 @ 9.22% 0-2 @ 8.87% 1-3 @ 6.33% 0-3 @ 5.68% 2-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 3.04% 0-4 @ 2.73% 2-4 @ 1.7% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.98% Total : 56.17%

Serie A

Genoa1 - 2Napoli

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Genoa
1 - 2
Napoli