Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Jul 2, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 0
Napoli

Pasalic (47'), Gosens (56')
Toloi (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rui (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Napoli, including team news and predicted lineups

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
49.22%	22.2%	28.58%

Both teams to score 64.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.73%

35.27%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.71%

57.29%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.27%

14.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.05%

42.94%

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.79%

24.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.46%

58.54%

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 49.22%

Napoli 28.58%

Draw 22.2%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 6.83% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 4.2% 3-0 @ 4.18% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-2 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 2% 5-1 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.39% Total : 49.22%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 6.58% 0-0 @ 3.57% 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.2%	1-2 @ 6.87% 0-1 @ 5.06% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 3.25% 2-3 @ 3.11% 0-3 @ 1.7% 1-4 @ 1.15% 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.75% Total : 28.58%

Serie A

Atalanta2 - 0Napoli

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Atalanta
2 - 0
Napoli