Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
38.72% | 25.9% | 35.38% |
Both teams to score 54.49% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.19% | 49.81% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.19% | 71.81% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.77% | 25.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.02% | 59.98% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.87% | 27.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.48% | 62.52% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.47% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.54% 4-1 @ 1.34% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.72% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 6.84% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.49% 0-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |