Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | SPAL |
| 38.17% | 26.22% | 35.6% |
| Both teams to score 53.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% | 51.17% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% | 73.02% |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.84% | 26.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.76% | 61.24% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% | 27.64% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.81% | 63.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.36% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-0 @ 2.91% 3-2 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.25% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.21% | 0-1 @ 9.3% 1-2 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 5.98% 1-3 @ 3.44% 0-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.3% 1-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.9% Total : 35.6% |