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Serie A | Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
SPAL logo

Brescia
2 - 1
SPAL

Zmrhal (69', 90+3')
Spalek (14'), Torregrossa (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dabo (42')
Reca (58'), Dabo (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Brescia and SPAL, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawSPAL
38.17%26.22%35.6%
Both teams to score 53.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.82%51.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.98%73.02%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.76%61.24%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.35%27.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.81%63.19%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 38.17%
    SPAL 35.6%
    Draw 26.21%
BresciaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.25%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.17%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.6%