Serie A Gameweek 34
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Mario Rigamonti
  • Nikolas Spalek 14' yellowcard
  • Jaromir Zmrhal 69' goal
  • Ernesto Torregrossa 89' yellowcard
  • Jaromir Zmrhal 90'+3' goal
  • goal Bryan Dabo 42'
  • yellowcard Arkadiusz Reca 58'
  • yellowcard Bryan Dabo 76'

Brescia vs SPAL - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Last game
Jul 14, 2020 8.45pm
Atalanta 6 - 2 Brescia
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Alfredo Donnarumma

SPAL

All competitions
Last game
Jul 16, 2020 8.45pm
SPAL 0 - 4 Inter Milan
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result

Brescia 38.17%
Draw 26.22%
SPAL 35.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.43%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.82%
Under 2.5 51.17%
Over 3.5 26.98%
Under 3.5 73.02%

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5 73.84%
Under 0.5 26.16%
Over 1.5 38.76%
Under 1.5 61.24%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 72.35%
Under 0.5 27.64%
Over 1.5 36.81%
Under 1.5 63.19%

Score analysis

Brescia 38.17%
Draw 26.21%
SPAL 35.6%
Brescia
1-0 @ 9.7%
2-1 @ 8.36%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 3.74%
3-0 @ 2.91%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.25%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 38.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.23%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.21%
SPAL
0-1 @ 9.3%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 5.98%
1-3 @ 3.44%
0-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.3%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.6%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2019 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
  • Francesco Vicari 21' yellowcard
  • Jasmin Kurtic 42' yellowcard
  • Thiago Cionek 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Cistana 18'
  • goal Mario Balotelli 54'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 72'
  • yellowcard Jesse Joronen 95'