Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 30

Jul 5, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
3 - 0
SPAL

Linetty (12', 45+3'), Gabbiadini (45')
Bertolacci (3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Cionek (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday night's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and SPAL, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sampdoria would win this match.

Result
Sampdoria	Draw	SPAL
47.81%	25.6%	26.58%

Both teams to score 51.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.04%

51.96%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.3%

73.7%

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.26%

21.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.09%

54.91%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68%

34.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.97%

71.03%

Score Analysis

Sampdoria 47.81%

SPAL 26.58%

Draw 25.6%

Sampdoria	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 9.29% 2-0 @ 8.69% 3-1 @ 4.73% 3-0 @ 4.42% 3-2 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.8% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.81%	1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 4.27% 1-3 @ 2.32% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.58%

Serie A

Sampdoria3 - 0SPAL

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Sampdoria
3 - 0
SPAL