Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Jun 27, 2020 at 4.15pm UK

Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
2 - 2
Genoa

Donnarumma (10'), Semprini (13')
Mateju (45'), Dessena (69'), Bjarnason (75'), Sabelli (86')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Falque (38' pen.), Pinamonti (69' pen.)
Zapata (58'), Biraschi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Brescia and Genoa, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 36.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Genoa
36.01%	25.21%	38.77%

Both teams to score 56.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.29%

46.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.03%

68.97%

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.7%

25.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.93%

60.06%

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.2%

23.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.04%

57.96%

Score Analysis

Brescia 36.01%

Genoa 38.77%

Draw 25.21%

Brescia	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 8.27% 2-1 @ 8.16% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.01%	1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.02% 2-2 @ 5.86% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 8.64% 1-2 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.2% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 2.97% 2-3 @ 2.8% 1-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.07% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.01% Total : 38.77%

Serie A

Brescia2 - 2Genoa

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Brescia
2 - 2
Genoa