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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 16, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Inter logo

SPAL
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Valdifiori (46'), Murgia (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Candreva (37'), Biraghi (55'), Sanchez (60'), Gagliardini (74')
Bastoni (32'), Biraghi (54'), Ranocchia (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A meeting between SPAL and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a SPAL win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawInter Milan
13.72%18.69%67.59%
Both teams to score 52.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18%39.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82%62.18%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43%77.57%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16%10.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.09%34.91%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 13.72%
    Inter Milan 67.59%
    Draw 18.69%
SPALDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.96%
2-1 @ 3.92%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.72%
1-1 @ 8.8%
0-0 @ 4.44%
2-2 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-2 @ 10.97%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 7.25%
0-4 @ 4.52%
1-4 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-5 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 67.59%