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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 16, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Stadio Paolo Mazza
Inter logo

SPAL
0 - 4
Inter Milan


Valdifiori (46'), Murgia (51')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Candreva (37'), Biraghi (55'), Sanchez (60'), Gagliardini (74')
Bastoni (32'), Biraghi (54'), Ranocchia (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A meeting between SPAL and Inter Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a SPAL win it was 1-0 (3.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
SPALDrawInter Milan
13.72%18.69%67.59%
Both teams to score 52.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18%39.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.82%62.18%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.98%41.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.43%77.57%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.16%10.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.09%34.91%
Score Analysis
    SPAL 13.72%
    Inter Milan 67.59%
    Draw 18.69%
SPALDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 3.96%
2-1 @ 3.92%
2-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.3%
3-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 13.72%
1-1 @ 8.8%
0-0 @ 4.44%
2-2 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 18.69%
0-2 @ 10.97%
0-1 @ 9.88%
1-2 @ 9.78%
0-3 @ 8.13%
1-3 @ 7.25%
0-4 @ 4.52%
1-4 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.23%
0-5 @ 2.01%
2-4 @ 1.79%
1-5 @ 1.79%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 67.59%

Head to Head
Dec 1, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 14
Inter Milan
2-1
SPAL
Martinez (16', 41')
D'Ambrosio (59')
Valoti (50')
Valdifiori (57'), Julio (77'), Cionek (80'), Murgia (94')
Mar 10, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 27
Inter Milan
2-0
SPAL
Politano (67'), Gagliardini (77')
Gagliardini (19'), Mario (57'), Ranocchia (90')

Missiroli (29'), Petagna (45'), Valoti (57'), Felipe (63'), Vicari (90')
Oct 7, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
SPAL
1-2
Inter Milan
Paloschi (72')
Lazzari (31'), Valoti (50'), Missiroli (53'), Schiattarella (84'), Luiz (86'), Felipe (86')
Icardi (14', 78')
Vrsaljko (52'), Miranda (80')
Jan 28, 2018 11.30am
Sep 10, 2017 11.30am
Inter Milan
2-0
SPAL
Icardi (27' pen.), Perisic (87')
D'Ambrosio (30'), Gagliardini (58')

Vicari (22'), Mora (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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