Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Napoli |
| 18.34% | 21.74% | 59.92% |
| Both teams to score 52.93% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.31% | 44.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% | 67.06% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.91% | 38.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% | 74.86% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.5% | 14.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.49% | 42.51% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 5.33% 2-1 @ 4.97% 2-0 @ 2.57% 3-1 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.34% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.53% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.73% | 0-1 @ 10.66% 0-2 @ 10.29% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-3 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 6.4% 0-4 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 3.09% 2-4 @ 1.49% 0-5 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.7% Total : 59.91% |