Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Parma |
| 54.44% | 24.08% | 21.47% |
| Both teams to score 50.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.64% | 50.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.7% | 72.29% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.6% | 18.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.46% | 49.53% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% | 74.8% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bologna | Draw | Parma |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.47% |