Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 54.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Parma |
54.44% | 24.08% | 21.47% |
Both teams to score 50.56% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.64% | 50.35% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.7% | 72.29% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.6% | 18.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.46% | 49.53% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.96% | 38.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.19% | 74.8% |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Parma |
1-0 @ 11.84% 2-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 5.66% 3-1 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 7% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.76% 1-2 @ 5.53% 0-2 @ 3.27% 1-3 @ 1.78% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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