Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 38.4% | 25.59% | 36% |
| Both teams to score 55.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% | 48.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% | 70.53% |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.24% | 24.76% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.68% | 59.32% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% | 26.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.85% | 61.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 9.02% 2-1 @ 8.46% 2-0 @ 6.3% 3-1 @ 3.94% 3-0 @ 2.93% 3-2 @ 2.64% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.02% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.81% Total : 38.4% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.68% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 5.83% 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.33% Total : 36% |