Serie A Gameweek 5
Parma
Oct 25, 2020 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
Spezia
  • Alberto Grassi 5' yellowcard
  • Hernani 23' yellowcard
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 34' goal
  • Simon Sohm 90' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Tommaso Pobega 6'
  • goal Julian Chabot 28'
  • goal Kevin Agudelo 31'
  • yellowcard Salvador Ferrer 85'

Parma vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2020 5.00pm
Udinese 3 - 2 Parma
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Hernani

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2020 2.00pm
Spezia 2 - 2 Fiorentina
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result

Parma 34.13%
Draw 27.9%
Spezia 37.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

47.98%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.03%
Under 2.5 57.97%
Over 3.5 21.33%
Under 3.5 78.67%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 68.07%
Under 0.5 31.94%
Over 1.5 31.61%
Under 1.5 68.39%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 70.49%
Under 0.5 29.52%
Over 1.5 34.47%
Under 1.5 65.53%

Score analysis

Parma 34.12%
Draw 27.89%
Spezia 37.98%
Parma
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
Spezia
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head

Serie B
Spezia
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)
Parma
  • Alberto Gilardino 24' yellowcard
  • Walter Lopez 42' yellowcard
  • goal Fabio Ceravolo 11'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ceravolo 23'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sierralta 45'
  • goal Amato Ciciretti 61'
  • yellowcard Amato Ciciretti 62'
Serie B
Parma
Dec 27, 2017 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
Spezia
  • Alessandro Lucarelli 31' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Lucarelli 42' redcard
  • Valerio Di Cesare 57' yellowcard
  • Francisco Sierralta 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francesco Bolzoni 24'
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 47'
  • yellowcard Giulio Maggiore 48'
  • yellowcard Filippo De Col 88'

Form Data

Udinese 3 - 2 Parma
Parma 1 - 0 Hellas Verona
Bologna 4 - 1 Parma
Parma 0 - 2 Napoli
Lecce 3 - 4 Parma
Parma 1 - 2 Atalanta
Spezia 2 - 2 Fiorentina
AC Milan 3 - 0 Spezia
Udinese 0 - 2 Spezia
Spezia 1 - 4 Sassuolo
Spezia 0 - 1 Frosinone
Frosinone 0 - 1 Spezia