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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Spezia Calcio logo

Parma
2 - 2
Spezia

Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Parma and Spezia, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawSpezia
34.13%27.9%37.98%
Both teams to score 47.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.03%57.97%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33%78.67%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.07%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49%29.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.47%65.53%
Score Analysis
    Parma 34.12%
    Spezia 37.98%
    Draw 27.89%
ParmaDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 7.49%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-0 @ 2.34%
3-2 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.12%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.89%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.01%
0-2 @ 7.02%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.86%
1-4 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 37.98%

Head to Head
May 18, 2018 7.30pm
Spezia
0-2
Parma

Gilardino (24'), Lopez (42')
Ceravolo (11'), Ciciretti (61')
Ceravolo (23'), Sierralta (45'), Ciciretti (62')
Dec 27, 2017 7.30pm
Parma
0-0
Spezia
Lucarelli (31'), Di Cesare (57'), Sierralta (73')
Lucarelli (42')
Bolzoni (24'), Terzi (47'), Maggiore (48'), De Col (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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