Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 5

Oct 25, 2020 at 2pm UK

Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
2 - 2
Spezia

Gagliolo (34'), Kucka (90+2' pen.)
Grassi (5'), Hernani (23'), Sohm (90')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Chabot (28'), Agudelo (31')
Pobega (6'), Ferrer (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A encounter between Parma and Spezia, including prediction, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Spezia
34.13%	27.9%	37.98%

Both teams to score 47.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.03%

57.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.33%

78.67%

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.07%

31.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.61%

68.39%

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49%

29.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.47%

65.53%

Score Analysis

Parma 34.12%

Spezia 37.98%

Draw 27.89%

Parma	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.14% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.12%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.43% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.89%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 8.01% 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 3.26% 0-3 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.98%

Serie A

Parma2 - 2Spezia

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Parma
2 - 2
Spezia