Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
48.77% | 24.01% | 27.22% |
Both teams to score 57.04% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.22% | 44.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.86% | 67.14% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% | 18.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.34% | 49.66% |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.96% | 30.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.84% | 66.16% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |