Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 48.77% | 24.01% | 27.22% |
| Both teams to score 57.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.22% | 44.78% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.86% | 67.14% |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% | 18.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% | 49.66% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.96% | 30.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.84% | 66.16% |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% 1-0 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 5.36% 3-0 @ 4.46% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.26% 4-0 @ 1.88% 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.77% | 1-1 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 5.72% 0-0 @ 5.55% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24% | 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-1 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.01% 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.14% Total : 27.22% |