/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmillog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
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Hakan Calhanoglu
47'
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Rafael Leao
57'
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Theo Hernandez
76'
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Rafael Leao
78'
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Matteo Ricci
32'
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Emmanuel Gyasi
40'
AC Milan vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Spezia Calcio had a probability of 18.96%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Spezia Calcio win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result
AC Milan
59.45%
Draw
21.59%
Spezia
18.96%
Both Teams to Score:
54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5
56.92%
Under 2.5
43.08%
Over 3.5
34.52%
Under 3.5
65.48%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5
85.88%
Under 0.5
14.12%
Over 1.5
58.24%
Under 1.5
41.76%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
63.53%
Under 0.5
36.47%
Over 1.5
26.75%
Under 1.5
73.25%
Score analysis
AC Milan
59.45%
Draw
21.58%
Spezia
18.96%
AC Milan
1-0
@
10.08%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.87%
3-1 @ 6.5%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 59.45%
2-1 @ 9.95%
2-0 @ 9.87%
3-1 @ 6.5%
3-0 @ 6.44%
3-2 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 3.18%
4-0 @ 3.15%
4-2 @ 1.6%
5-1 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 59.45%
Draw
1-1
@
10.16%
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.58%
0-0 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 5.02%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.58%
Spezia
0-1
@
5.19%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.96%
1-2 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 2.62%
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.96%