Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.