Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

Jul 21, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio Citta del Tricolore

Sassuolo
1 - 2
AC Milan

Caputo (42' pen.)
Bourabia (22'), Locatelli (34')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ibrahimovic (19', 45+2')
Hernandez (38'), Bennacer (61'), Laxalt (76'), Bonaventura (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A fixture between Sassuolo and AC Milan, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.09%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for AC Milan in this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
31.31%	22.1%	46.58%

Both teams to score 66.86%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.89%

33.1%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.15%

54.84%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.5%

21.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.45%

54.54%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.17%

14.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.86%

43.13%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 31.31%

AC Milan 46.58%

Draw 22.1%

Sassuolo	Draw	AC Milan
2-1 @ 7.19% 1-0 @ 4.9% 2-0 @ 3.77% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.56% Total : 31.31%	1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 6.86% 0-0 @ 3.19% 3-3 @ 2.24% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 8.93% 0-1 @ 6.09% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 5.68% 2-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 3.69% 1-4 @ 2.71% 2-4 @ 2.08% 0-4 @ 1.76% 3-4 @ 1.07% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.37% Total : 46.58%

Serie A

Sassuolo1 - 2AC Milan

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Sassuolo
1 - 2
AC Milan