Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 16.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
| 64.34% | 19.21% | 16.45% |
| Both teams to score 57.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.6% | 36.39% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.47% | 58.53% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% | 10.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.4% | 34.6% |
| Bologna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.73% | 35.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% | 72.03% |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Bologna |
| 2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.43% 1-0 @ 8.43% 3-1 @ 7.32% 3-0 @ 7.03% 4-1 @ 4.09% 4-0 @ 3.93% 3-2 @ 3.81% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.83% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.81% Total : 64.34% | 1-1 @ 8.79% 2-2 @ 5.12% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.21% Total : 19.21% | 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-1 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.05% 2-3 @ 1.78% 1-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.52% Total : 16.45% |