Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

Aug 1, 2020 at 7.45pm UK

Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Cagliari

Klavan (11' og.), Ibrahimovic (55'), Castillejo (57')
Saelemaekers (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Pereiro (13'), Farago (45'), Cragno (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Cagliari, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 56.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Cagliari
56.38%	22.4%	21.22%

Both teams to score 55.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.44%

43.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.05%

65.95%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.73%

15.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.04%

43.96%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.55%

34.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.84%

71.16%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 56.38%

Cagliari 21.22%

Draw 22.4%

AC Milan	Draw	Cagliari
2-1 @ 9.9% 1-0 @ 9.88% 2-0 @ 9.29% 3-1 @ 6.2% 3-0 @ 5.82% 3-2 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.92% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-1 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 56.38%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.4%	1-2 @ 5.61% 0-1 @ 5.6% 0-2 @ 2.99% 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.08% Total : 21.22%

Serie A

AC Milan3 - 0Cagliari

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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AC Milan
3 - 0
Cagliari