Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 34

Jul 18, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
5 - 1
Bologna

Saelemaekers (10'), Calhanoglu (24'), Bennacer (49'), Rebic (57'), Calabria (90+2')
Kjaer (51'), Saelemaekers (54')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Tomiyasu (44')
Sansone (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Bologna, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
50.27%	23.32%	26.41%

Both teams to score 58.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.71%

42.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31%

64.69%

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.05%

16.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.97%

47.02%

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65%

29.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68%

65.32%

Score Analysis

AC Milan 50.27%

Bologna 26.41%

Draw 23.32%

AC Milan	Draw	Bologna
2-1 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 5.68% 3-0 @ 4.64% 3-2 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 2.52% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 4.07% Total : 50.27%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 6.64% 0-1 @ 6.1% 0-2 @ 3.74% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 3.29% Total : 26.41%

Serie A

AC Milan5 - 1Bologna

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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AC Milan
5 - 1
Bologna