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Serie A header desktop

Serie A

Bologna logo
Serie A | Gameweek 36
Jul 26, 2020 at 4.15pm UK
Renato Dall'Ara
Lecce logo

Bologna
3 - 2
Lecce

Palacio (2'), Soriano (5'), Barrow (90+3')
Palacio (43')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mancosu (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Lecce, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
BolognaDrawLecce
49.36%24.47%26.16%
Both teams to score 54.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43%47.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22%69.78%
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69%19.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93%51.07%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68%32.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17%68.83%
Score Analysis
    Bologna 49.36%
    Lecce 26.16%
    Draw 24.47%
BolognaDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.53%
2-0 @ 8.44%
3-1 @ 5.23%
3-0 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.15%
4-0 @ 1.9%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.36%
1-1 @ 11.59%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.47%
0-1 @ 7.05%
1-2 @ 6.55%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 26.16%