Rio Ave
Europa League | Playoffs
Oct 1, 2020 at 8pm UK
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Milan logo

Rio Ave
2 - 2
AC Milan

Geraldes (72'), Gelson (91')
Borevkovic (15'), Moreira (41'), Aderlan (47'), Augusto (65'), Tarantini (68')
FT
(aet)
Saelemaekers (51'), Calhanoglu (120+2' pen.)
Hernandez (61'), Leao (98'), Kjaer (113')
AC Milan win 9-8 on penalties
Coverage of the Europa League Playoffs clash between Rio Ave and AC Milan.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.88%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.42%) and 1-2 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.33%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (11.49%).

Result
Rio AveDrawAC Milan
28.88%29.84%41.28%
Both teams to score 41.26%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.47%65.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.74%84.26%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.1%39.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.44%76.55%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65%31.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.29%67.71%
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 28.88%
    AC Milan 41.27%
    Draw 29.83%
Rio AveDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 11.49%
2-1 @ 6.13%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 1.88%
3-0 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.4%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 12.5%
2-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.83%
0-1 @ 14.5%
0-2 @ 8.42%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-3 @ 3.25%
1-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.27%