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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
3 - 2
Bodo/Glimt

Calhanoglu (16', 50'), Colombo (32')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Junker (15'), Petter Hauge (55')
Konradsen (69')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between AC Milan and Bodo/Glimt.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 23.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawBodo/Glimt
49.07%27.11%23.82%
Both teams to score 44.73%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6%59.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22%79.78%
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.65%24.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.25%58.75%
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13%40.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56%77.44%
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 49.06%
    Bodo/Glimt 23.82%
    Draw 27.1%
AC MilanDrawBodo/Glimt
1-0 @ 14.05%
2-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 8.89%
3-0 @ 4.68%
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.65%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 9.95%
2-2 @ 3.98%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.1%
0-1 @ 8.9%
1-2 @ 5.63%
0-2 @ 3.98%
1-3 @ 1.68%
0-3 @ 1.19%
2-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.82%

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