Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 2Bodo/Glimt
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between AC Milan and Bodo/Glimt.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 49.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 23.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 49.07% | 27.11% | 23.82% |
| Both teams to score 44.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.6% | 59.4% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% | 79.78% |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% | 24.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% | 58.75% |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.13% | 40.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.56% | 77.44% |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 49.06%
Bodo/Glimt 23.82%
Draw 27.1%
| AC Milan | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 1-0 @ 14.05% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.68% 3-1 @ 4.18% 3-2 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.65% 4-1 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.33% Total : 49.06% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 3.98% Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 5.63% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 1.68% 0-3 @ 1.19% 2-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.82% |


