Serie A
Gameweek
4
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Ffiolog.png)
-
Daniele Verde
39'
-
Alessandro Deiola
45'+1'
-
Julian Chabot
59'
-
Diego Farias
75'
-
German Pezzella
2'
-
Cristiano Biraghi
4'
-
Giacomo Bonaventura
66'
-
Pol Lirola
87'
Spezia vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F42%2Fgiuseppe-iachini.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Spezia
45.47%
Draw
24.38%
Fiorentina
30.15%
Both Teams to Score:
57.86%
Goals
Over 2.5
55.37%
Under 2.5
44.63%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
80.24%
Under 0.5
19.76%
Over 1.5
48.2%
Under 1.5
51.8%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5
72.11%
Under 0.5
27.89%
Over 1.5
36.5%
Under 1.5
63.5%
Score analysis
Spezia
45.47%
Draw
24.38%
Fiorentina
30.15%
Spezia
2-1
@
9.25%
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 45.47%
1-0 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 7.25%
3-1 @ 5%
3-0 @ 3.92%
3-2 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 45.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.41%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.38%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.38%
Fiorentina
1-2
@
7.29%
0-1 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 30.15%
0-1 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.51%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 30.15%