Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 67.2% | 18.63% | 14.17% |
| Both teams to score 54.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.52% | 38.48% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% | 60.78% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.44% | 10.56% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.7% | 34.3% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.48% | 39.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.79% | 76.21% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 9.79% 1-0 @ 9.38% 3-0 @ 7.9% 3-1 @ 7.34% 4-0 @ 4.44% 4-1 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.41% 5-0 @ 2% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-1 @ 1.86% Other @ 4.5% Total : 67.19% | 1-1 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.55% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.63% | 1-2 @ 4.04% 0-1 @ 3.87% 0-2 @ 1.8% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.17% |