Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
42.25% | 24.7% | 33.05% |
Both teams to score 58.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% | 44.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% | 67.29% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% | 21.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% | 54.26% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% | 61.28% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 33 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |