Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 42.25% | 24.7% | 33.05% |
| Both teams to score 58.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.07% | 44.93% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.71% | 67.29% |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.68% | 21.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.74% | 54.26% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.81% | 26.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.72% | 61.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Napoli |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 6.67% 3-1 @ 4.6% 3-0 @ 3.44% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.78% 4-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.59% Total : 42.25% | 1-1 @ 11.56% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.75% 0-1 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.29% Total : 33.05% |