Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 22.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 54.77% | 22.62% | 22.61% |
| Both teams to score 56.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.18% | 42.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.77% | 65.23% |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% | 15.55% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.51% | 44.49% |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.25% | 32.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% | 69.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.82% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 5.47% 3-2 @ 3.41% 4-1 @ 2.84% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-2 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.06% 5-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.66% Total : 54.77% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 2-2 @ 5.5% 0-0 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.61% | 1-2 @ 5.91% 0-1 @ 5.68% 0-2 @ 3.17% 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 2.05% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.43% Total : 22.61% |