Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals

Aug 17, 2020 at 8pm UK

Merkur Spiel-Arena

Inter Milan
5 - 0
Shakhtar

Martinez (19', 74'), D'Ambrosio (64'), Lukaku (78', 84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taison (58')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 47.66%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
47.66%	25.21%	27.13%

Both teams to score 53.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.02%

71.98%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79%

21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.23%

53.77%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.15%

32.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.58%

69.41%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 47.66%

Shakhtar Donetsk 27.13%

Draw 25.21%

Inter Milan	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 10.76% 2-1 @ 9.35% 2-0 @ 8.4% 3-1 @ 4.87% 3-0 @ 4.37% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.54% Total : 47.66%	1-1 @ 11.98% 0-0 @ 6.9% 2-2 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.68% 1-2 @ 6.67% 0-2 @ 4.28% 1-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.93% 0-3 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.13%