Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 45.67%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 27.71% | 26.62% | 45.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.78% | 55.22% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.55% | 76.45% |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.84% | 35.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% | 71.92% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% | 24.12% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.58% | 58.42% |
| Score Analysis |
Shakhtar Donetsk 27.71%
Wolfsburg 45.67%
Draw 26.62%
| Shakhtar Donetsk | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-1 @ 6.59% 2-0 @ 4.63% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.71% | 1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.48% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 12.06% 1-2 @ 8.96% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 4.07% 2-3 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.67% |


