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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 34.57% | 24.65% | 40.78% |
| Both teams to score 58.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% | 44.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% | 66.71% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% | 25.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.33% | 59.67% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.25% | 21.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.07% | 54.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-1 @ 7.97% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.23% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.81% 3-0 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.57% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-1 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 4.46% 0-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 3.09% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.78% |