Desna
2 - 4
Shakhtar

Gitchenko (29'), Filippov (62')
Mostovyi (71')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Solomon (25'), Tete (26'), Maycon (60'), Patrick (69' pen.)

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Desna Chernihiv and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Desna Chernihiv had a probability of 25.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Desna Chernihiv win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
25.71%	25%	49.29%

Both teams to score 52.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85%

50.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89%

72.11%

Desna Chernihiv Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93%

34.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24%

70.75%

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.63%

20.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.23%

52.77%

Score Analysis

Desna Chernihiv 25.71%

Shakhtar Donetsk 49.29%

Draw 24.99%

Desna Chernihiv	Draw	Shakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 7.47% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.83% 3-0 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.71%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.99%	0-1 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-3 @ 5.02% 0-3 @ 4.66% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 2% 0-4 @ 1.85% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.7% Total : 49.29%

Desna2 - 4Shakhtar

Data Analysis

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