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Wolfsburg
Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
Jun 20, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
VELTINS-Arena
Wolfsburg

Schalke
1 - 4
Wolfsburg

Matondo (70')
Oczipka (30'), Gregoritsch (35'), Kenny (38'), McKennie (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weghorst (16', 56'), Mbabu (59'), Victor (69')
Steffen (11'), Mbabu (81'), Roussillon (87')
Steffen (11'), Mbabu (81'), Roussillon (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga encounter between Schalke 04 and Wolfsburg, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawWolfsburg
29.16%23.79%47.06%
Both teams to score 59.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52%42.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.12%64.88%
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52%27.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03%62.97%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.71%49.29%
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 29.16%
    Wolfsburg 47.06%
    Draw 23.78%
Schalke 04DrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 7.12%
1-0 @ 6.48%
2-0 @ 4.18%
3-1 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.61%
3-0 @ 1.8%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.05%
0-0 @ 5.01%
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.78%
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 8.53%
0-2 @ 7.26%
1-3 @ 5.31%
0-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 3.43%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.75%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 47.06%