Serie A Gameweek 38
SPAL
Aug 2, 2020 5.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza
Fiorentina
  • Marco D'Alessandro 39' goal
  • Mohamed Fares 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Alfred Duncan 30'
  • goal Christian Kouame 89'
  • yellowcard Federico Chiesa 90'+2'
  • goal Erick Pulgar 90'+4'

SPAL vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2020 6.30pm
Hellas Verona 3 - 0 SPAL
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Andrea Petagna

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jul 29, 2020 8.45pm
Fiorentina 4 - 0 Bologna
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Federico Chiesa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest SPAL win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

SPAL 26.62%
Draw 23.41%
Fiorentina 49.97%

Both Teams to Score: 

58.56%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.46%
Under 2.5 42.54%
Over 3.5 35.05%
Under 3.5 64.95%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 70.68%
Under 0.5 29.32%
Over 1.5 34.71%
Under 1.5 65.29%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 82.85%
Under 0.5 17.15%
Over 1.5 52.61%
Under 1.5 47.39%

Score analysis

SPAL 26.62%
Draw 23.41%
Fiorentina 49.97%
SPAL
2-1 @ 6.67%
1-0 @ 6.17%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-0 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 26.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.87%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.41%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 9.59%
0-1 @ 8.87%
0-2 @ 7.82%
1-3 @ 5.64%
0-3 @ 4.59%
2-3 @ 3.46%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.52%
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 49.97%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Fiorentina
Jan 12, 2020 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
SPAL
  • German Pezzella 38' yellowcard
  • German Pezzella 82' goal
  • yellowcard Alessandro Murgia 79'
Serie A Gameweek 24
SPAL
Feb 17, 2019 11.30am
1
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
Fiorentina
  • Andrea Petagna 36' goal
  • Mohamed Fares 39' yellowcard
  • Thiago Cionek 41' yellowcard
  • Pasquale Schiattarella 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Edimilson Fernandes 9'
  • yellowcard Jordan Veretout 25'
  • yellowcard Cristiano Biraghi 35'
  • goal Edimilson Fernandes 44'
  • yellowcard Nikola Milenkovic 55'
  • goal Jordan Veretout 79'
  • goal Giovanni Simeone 81'
  • goal Gerson 88'
Serie A Gameweek 5
Fiorentina
Sep 22, 2018 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
SPAL
  • Marko Pjaca 18' goal
  • Nikola Milenkovic 28' goal
  • Cristiano Biraghi 33' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 56' goal
  • yellowcard Pasquale Schiattarella 55'
  • yellowcard Jasmin Kurtic 74'
Serie A
Fiorentina
Apr 15, 2018 11.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
SPAL
  • Riccardo Saponara 24' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everton Luiz 44'
  • yellowcard Mattia Vitale 69'
Serie A
SPAL
Nov 19, 2017 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
Fiorentina
  • Marco Borriello 40' yellowcard
  • Alberto Paloschi 42' goal
  • Marios Oikonomou 75' yellowcard
  • Federico Viviani 90' yellowcard
  • Marios Oikonomou 90' redcard
  • yellowcard German Pezzella 28'
  • yellowcard Marco Benassi 60'
  • yellowcard Carlos Sanchez 66'
  • goal Federico Chiesa 80'

Form Data

Hellas Verona 3 - 0 SPAL
SPAL 1 - 1 Torino
SPAL 1 - 6 Roma
Brescia 2 - 1 SPAL
SPAL 0 - 4 Inter Milan
Genoa 2 - 0 SPAL
Fiorentina 4 - 0 Bologna
Roma 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Inter Milan 0 - 0 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 2 - 0 Torino
Lecce 1 - 3 Fiorentina
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Hellas Verona