Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

Jul 22, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Stadio Paolo Mazza

SPAL
1 - 6
Roma

Cerri (24')
Espeto (77')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Kalinic (10'), Perez (38'), Kolarov (47'), Peres (52', 75'), Zaniolo (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between SPAL and Roma, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 17.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a SPAL win it was 2-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SPAL	Draw	Roma
17.22%	20.41%	62.37%

Both teams to score 55.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.41%

40.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.02%

62.97%

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.07%

36.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.28%

73.72%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53%

12.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.57%

38.42%

Score Analysis

SPAL 17.22%

Roma 62.37%

Draw 20.41%

SPAL	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 4.76% 1-0 @ 4.59% 2-0 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.37% Total : 17.22%	1-1 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.6% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.41%	0-2 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.59% 0-3 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 6.9% 0-4 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 3.44% 2-4 @ 1.79% 0-5 @ 1.5% 1-5 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.61% Total : 62.37%

Serie A

SPAL1 - 6Roma

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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SPAL
1 - 6
Roma