Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

Jul 26, 2020 at 6.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
2 - 1
Fiorentina

Veretout (45' pen., 87' pen.)
Mancini (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Milenkovic (54')
Pezzella (35'), Caceres (72'), Ghezzal (86'), Pezzella (88'), Milenkovic (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
51.51%	23.86%	24.63%

Both teams to score 55.08%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.77%

46.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.48%

68.52%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04%

17.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21%

48.79%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14%

32.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57%

69.42%

Score Analysis

Roma 51.51%

Fiorentina 24.63%

Draw 23.85%

Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 10.13% 2-1 @ 9.68% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.54% 3-0 @ 4.98% 3-2 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 2.38% 4-0 @ 2.14% 4-2 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.55% Total : 51.51%	1-1 @ 11.27% 0-0 @ 5.9% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.85%	0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.45% Total : 24.63%

Serie A

Roma2 - 1Fiorentina

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Roma
2 - 1
Fiorentina