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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Shakhov (88')
Gabriel (10'), Babacar (21'), Donati (36')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Chiesa (6'), Ghezzal (38'), Cutrone (40')
Ribery (10'), Ghezzal (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
33.88%24.24%41.87%
Both teams to score 59.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42%42.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02%64.98%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94%59.06%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02%52.98%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 33.88%
    Fiorentina 41.87%
    Draw 24.24%
LecceDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan29244171145776
2AC Milan29195555332262
3Juventus29178444232159
4Bologna29159542251754
5Roma29156855352051
6Atalanta BCAtalanta28145951321947
7Napoli29129844331145
8Fiorentina2812794132943
9Lazio29134123633343
10Monza2911993236-442
11Torino29101182826241
12Genoa29810113136-534
13Lecce29610132645-1928
14Udinese29415102844-1627
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2968152639-1326
16CagliariCagliari2968152950-2126
17Empoli2967162243-2125
18FrosinoneFrosinone2966173760-2324
19SassuoloSassuolo2965183356-2323
20Salernitana2928192359-3614


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