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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 at 8.45pm UK
Via del Mare
Fiorentina logo

Lecce
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Shakhov (88')
Gabriel (10'), Babacar (21'), Donati (36')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Chiesa (6'), Ghezzal (38'), Cutrone (40')
Ribery (10'), Ghezzal (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawFiorentina
33.88%24.24%41.87%
Both teams to score 59.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42%42.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02%64.98%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.94%59.06%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5%20.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02%52.98%
Score Analysis
    Lecce 33.88%
    Fiorentina 41.87%
    Draw 24.24%
LecceDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.88%
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Fiorentina
0-1
Lecce
La Mantia (49')
Rispoli (29'), Petriccione (60'), Rossettini (69')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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