Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Jul 15, 2020 at 8.45pm UK

Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 3
Fiorentina

Shakhov (88')
Gabriel (10'), Babacar (21'), Donati (36')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Chiesa (6'), Ghezzal (38'), Cutrone (40')
Ribery (10'), Ghezzal (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Fiorentina, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
33.88%	24.24%	41.87%

Both teams to score 59.97%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.42%

42.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.02%

64.98%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42%

24.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.94%

59.06%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5%

20.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.02%

52.98%

Score Analysis

Lecce 33.88%

Fiorentina 41.87%

Draw 24.24%

Lecce	Draw	Fiorentina
2-1 @ 7.86% 1-0 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 4.96% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-2 @ 2.92% 3-0 @ 2.32% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.88%	1-1 @ 11.2% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.24%	1-2 @ 8.88% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 4.69% 0-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 3.29% 1-4 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.87% Total : 41.87%

Serie A

Lecce1 - 3Fiorentina

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Lecce
1 - 3
Fiorentina