Serie A Gameweek 33
Jul 15, 2020 8.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Via del Mare
  • Gabriel 10' yellowcard
  • Khouma Babacar 21' yellowcard
  • Giulio Donati 36' yellowcard
  • Evgeniy Shakhov 88' goal
  • goal Federico Chiesa 6'
  • yellowcard Franck Ribery 10'
  • yellowcard Rachid Ghezzal 27'
  • goal Rachid Ghezzal 38'
  • goal Patrick Cutrone 40'

Lecce vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Cagliari 0 - 0 Lecce
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Marco Mancosu

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Fiorentina 1 - 1 Hellas Verona
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Federico Chiesa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Lecce 33.88%
Draw 24.24%
Fiorentina 41.87%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.97%

Goals

Over 2.5 57.42%
Under 2.5 42.57%
Over 3.5 35.02%
Under 3.5 64.98%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 75.42%
Under 0.5 24.57%
Over 1.5 40.94%
Under 1.5 59.06%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 79.5%
Under 0.5 20.49%
Over 1.5 47.02%
Under 1.5 52.98%

Score analysis

Lecce 33.88%
Draw 24.24%
Fiorentina 41.87%
Lecce
2-1 @ 7.86%
1-0 @ 7.07%
2-0 @ 4.96%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 33.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 5.04%
3-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.24%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 8.88%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.69%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 3.29%
1-4 @ 1.86%
0-4 @ 1.32%
2-4 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi (Firenze)
  • Gaetano Castrovilli 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andrea Rispoli 29'
  • goal Andrea La Mantia 49'
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Rossettini 69'