Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
| 24.59% | 21.36% | 54.05% |
| Both teams to score 63.81% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.3% | 34.7% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.34% | 56.66% |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% | 26.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% | 61.91% |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87% | 13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.48% | 39.52% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 6.18% 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 1.33% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.05% Total : 24.59% | 1-1 @ 9.35% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 3.47% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.36% | 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 7.07% 1-3 @ 6.49% 0-3 @ 4.91% 2-3 @ 4.29% 1-4 @ 3.31% 0-4 @ 2.5% 2-4 @ 2.19% 1-5 @ 1.35% 0-5 @ 1.02% 3-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.22% Total : 54.05% |